Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.362422 4.838806e-01 0.624349 0.796331 0.998742 1.227033 1.501567
2025-10-26 0.182152 3.163139e-01 0.497923 0.750049 1.079503 1.484508 2.008846
2025-11-02 0.095553 2.233633e-01 0.427057 0.744480 1.197180 1.792153 2.605057
2025-11-09 0.043568 1.493045e-01 0.352884 0.709945 1.262707 2.033165 3.134426
2025-11-16 0.023021 1.166529e-01 0.330561 0.743154 1.422131 2.408654 3.862729
2025-11-23 0.009825 8.503329e-02 0.295310 0.743665 1.527322 2.711494 4.506725
2025-11-30 0.004969 7.199733e-02 0.292787 0.799421 1.722616 3.154637 5.365795
2025-12-07 0.001956 5.812787e-02 0.281154 0.833608 1.882822 3.551962 6.174427
2025-12-14 0.000465 4.421581e-02 0.261165 0.845070 2.002410 3.890838 6.909088
2025-12-21 0.000021 3.071371e-02 0.232361 0.829533 2.069694 4.148393 7.530505
2025-12-28 NaN 2.316584e-02 0.218315 0.843523 2.190145 4.493942 8.292649
2026-01-04 NaN 1.649752e-02 0.201046 0.844812 2.284714 4.799518 9.001606
2026-01-11 NaN 9.739848e-03 0.173558 0.813563 2.314906 5.004471 9.571407
2026-01-18 NaN 5.519032e-03 0.151632 0.790658 2.358443 5.233026 10.185213
2026-01-25 NaN 3.461828e-03 0.140778 0.797288 2.463231 5.570358 10.979548
2026-02-01 NaN 1.521422e-03 0.120609 0.767228 2.485227 5.762990 11.548259
2026-02-08 NaN 1.079536e-03 0.120488 0.805522 2.660753 6.233309 12.574040
2026-02-15 NaN 5.026252e-04 0.111154 0.807727 2.754403 6.559688 13.373985
2026-02-22 NaN 4.213269e-04 0.116635 0.867633 2.984682 7.139970 14.599049
2026-03-01 NaN 2.584249e-04 0.116216 0.904276 3.162672 7.629713 15.684914
2026-03-08 NaN 9.914214e-05 0.110192 0.916644 3.283948 8.018805 16.612729
2026-03-15 NaN 1.128416e-05 0.098359 0.900322 3.334631 8.278395 17.331312
2026-03-22 NaN 5.964552e-07 0.093917 0.915192 3.461942 8.683888 18.299117